North Dakota: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 37.0% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, whereas Trump will end up with 63.0%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to win 63.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can contain large biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.8% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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