The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 37.0% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, whereas Trump will end up with 63.0%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to win 63.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can contain large biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 59.8% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 3.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Dakota.