New DeSart model in Minnesota: Trump and Clinton in a tossup

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 51.6% for Clinton, and 48.4% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain only 48.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 55.9% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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