The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 51.6% for Clinton, and 48.4% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain only 48.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models can include substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 55.9% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart model.