The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 51.1% for Clinton, and 48.9% for Trump in Nevada. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 49.0% of the vote.
In Nevada, the popular vote is usually decided by a narrow margin. Therefore, the state is commonly regarded as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 50.9% of the two-party vote in Nevada. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.