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Minnesota: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead


The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 58.5% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, while Trump will end up with 41.5%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 55.9% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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