Polly the parrot today forecasts a national two-party vote share of 52.5% for Clinton and 47.5% for Trump. There is broad consensus among the six available components: Five predict a victory for Clinton and one speculates that Trump will win.
In contrast to Polly's forecast, Trump has a lead in the econometric models of 50.4%.
Citizen forecasts predict a vote share of 52.3% for Clinton, which is the closest to PollyVote's forecast. With a vote share of 49.6% the econometric models differ the most from the PollyVote forecast.
When comparing predictions for previous elections the vote share for the Democrats is particularly high with 52.3% in expectation polls. Since 1996 they had not gained so many votes at this time during the course of the election. At that time, expectation polls expected a vote share of 54.2% for Democratic candidate.