Clinton leads in Massachusetts by 24 points in new Boston Globe/Suffolk poll

Boston Globe/Suffolk published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Massachusetts were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

The results show that 55.0% of participants said that they would cast a ballot for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 31.0% are going to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was in the field between May 2 and May 5. The sample size was 500 likely voters. If one accounts for the poll's error margin of +/-4.4 percentage points, the difference between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they sometimes contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we convert the candidates' raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields values of 64.0% for Clinton and 36.1% for Trump.

The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 63.8% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 0.2 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus within the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.