Massachusetts: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 62.8% for Clinton, and 37.3% for Trump in Massachusetts. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain only 37.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can contain large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 64.3% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart model.