Maryland: New Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll shows Trump trailing by 35 points
Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.
Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll results
Of those who responded, 63.0% said that they intend to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% said that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was in the field between March 30 and April 3.
Putting the results in context
Single polls often contain large biases, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in figures of 69.2% for Clinton and 30.8% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
If we look at an average of Maryland polls, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 69.0%. Relative to her numbers in the Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll Clinton's poll average is 0.2 percentage points lower.
The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Maryland. This means that the combined PollyVote is 4.7 points below her polling numbers.