Maryland: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 61.4% for Clinton, and 38.6% for Trump in Maryland. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 38.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not have too much confidence in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 64.3% of the two-party vote in Maryland. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Maryland.