Maine: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 55.2% for Clinton, and 44.8% for Trump in Maine. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 44.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts. The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Maine.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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