Results of a new poll administered by Magellan (R)Magellan (R) were released. The poll asked interviewees from Mississippi for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.
Magellan (R)Magellan (R) poll results
Of those who replied, 39.0% said that they plan to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 54.0% revealed that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out from August 11 to August 11 among 1084 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-2.9 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
Single polls should be interpreted with caution, as they may incorporate large biases. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, we recommend to look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
For the following analysis, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in figures of 41.9% for Clinton and 58.1% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 55.0% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. That is, the PollyVote is 3.1 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's error margin.