Latest Emerson poll in Connecticut: Trump trails by a big margin
Emerson released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Connecticut were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.
Emerson poll results
The results show that 50.0% of interviewees would give their vote to former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 35.0% are going to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from September 2 to September 5 with 1000 likely voters. The error margin is +/-3.0 points. This means that the poll results for Trump and Clinton differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they often contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single polls, you should consult combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, we translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in figures of 58.8% for Clinton and 41.2% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. This means that the combined PollyVote is 1.7 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore in line with the poll's margin of error.