Oregon: Clinton and Trump neck-and-neck in latest Clout Research (R) poll

Clout Research (R) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Oregon were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

The results show that 43.0% of respondents are going to give their vote to former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 40.0% are going to vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from July 9 to July 13 with 701 likely voters. If one accounts for the poll's margin of error of +/-3.7 percentage points, the results reflect a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single poll. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, we translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 51.8% for Clinton and 48.2% for Trump.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 58.0% of the two-party vote in Oregon. Hence, the PollyVote is 6.2 points above her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error shows that this deviation is significant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.