Results of a new poll administered by Fort Hays St. University were circulated. The poll asked participants from Kansas for whom they will vote: Donald·Trump or Hillary·Clinton.
Fort Hays St. University poll results
Of those who replied, 27.0% said that they plan to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 44.0% indicated that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted between July 11 and July 21. The sample size was 542 likely voters.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be interpreted with caution, because they may incorporate large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, you should rely on combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.
To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we translate them into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 38.0% for Clinton and 62.0% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in Kansas. That is, Polly's prediction is 5.3 points below his polling numbers.