The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 47.8% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will win 52.2%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 52.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 57.9% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.