Jerome model: Trump in Delaware trails by a moderate margin

The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 53.5% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, while Trump will win 46.5%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they can incorporate substantial biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 57.6% of the two-party vote in Delaware. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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