The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 53.5% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, while Trump will win 46.5%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they can incorporate substantial biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 57.6% of the two-party vote in Delaware. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.