Jerome model in Wyoming: Trump with very clear lead

The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 32.3% for Clinton, and 67.7% for Trump in Wyoming. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to win 67.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 65.0% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 2.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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