The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 46.6% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, while Trump will end up with 53.4%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 53.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can contain substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 54.4% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.