The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 61.7% of the two-party vote share in Rhode Island, whereas Trump will win 38.3%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to win only 38.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Rhode Island.