Jerome model in Rhode Island: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 61.7% of the two-party vote share in Rhode Island, whereas Trump will win 38.3%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to win only 38.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Rhode Island.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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