The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 54.2% for Clinton, and 45.8% for Trump in Oregon. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain only 45.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 58.0% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.