Jerome model in Oregon: Clinton with comfortable lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 54.2% for Clinton, and 45.8% for Trump in Oregon. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain only 45.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 58.0% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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