Jerome model in Oklahoma: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 43.2% for Clinton, and 56.8% for Trump in Oklahoma. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve 56.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can include large biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 64.9% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 8.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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