Jerome model in New Mexico: Clinton is in the lead

The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 52.2% for Clinton, and 47.8% for Trump in New Mexico. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to gain 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, since they can contain substantial biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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