The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 52.2% for Clinton, and 47.8% for Trump in New Mexico. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to gain 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, since they can contain substantial biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.