The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 47.4% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will end up with 52.6%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 52.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, as they often contain substantial biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 53.4% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.