Jerome model in Missouri: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 47.4% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will end up with 52.6%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 52.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, as they often contain substantial biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 53.4% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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