Jerome model in Louisiana: Trump with comfortable lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 46.7% for Clinton, and 53.3% for Trump in Louisiana. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 53.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 57.7% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 4.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Louisiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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