Jerome model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 43.8% for Clinton, and 56.2% for Trump in Kansas. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may contain substantial biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 56.6% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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