Jerome model in Idaho: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 32.1% for Clinton, and 67.9% for Trump in Idaho. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The Jerome model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 65.7% of the two-party vote in Idaho. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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