Jerome model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead
The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 58.1% for Clinton, and 41.9% for Trump in Hawaii. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to obtain 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 65.7% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 7.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.