Jerome model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 47.6% for Clinton, and 52.4% for Trump in Georgia. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve 52.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 52.3% of the two-party vote in Georgia. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 0.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Georgia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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