Jerome model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead
The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 47.6% for Clinton, and 52.4% for Trump in Georgia. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve 52.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 52.3% of the two-party vote in Georgia. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 0.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Georgia.