The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 45.6% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, whereas Trump will win 54.4%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect 54.4% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, don't put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 60.0% of the two-party vote in Alabama. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.