Jerome model: Clinton with small lead in Washington

The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 52.8% of the two-party vote share in Washington, whereas Trump will end up with 47.2%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect only 47.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 56.8% of the two-party vote in Washington. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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