The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 43.0% of the two-party vote share in South Dakota, while Trump will win 57.0%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 57.4% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.