Jerome model: Clinton in Mississippi trails by a moderate margin

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 46.2% for Clinton, and 53.8% for Trump in Mississippi. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to obtain 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can include substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 55.6% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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