Monmouth released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Indiana were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.
Monmouth poll results
The results show that 36.0% of respondents plan to give their vote to former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 47.0% plan to give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out . The sample size was 0 participants.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, we convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 43.4% for Clinton and 56.6% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
If we look at an average of Indiana polls, Trump's two-party vote share is currently at 55.0%. Relative to his numbers in the Monmouth poll Trump's poll average is 1.6 percentage points lower.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 54.9% of the two-party vote in Indiana. This means that the combined PollyVote is 1.7 points below his polling numbers.