The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 54.4% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, while Trump will win 45.6%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to gain 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models may incorporate large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 58.2% of the two-party vote in Illinois. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.