Results of a new poll administered by Idaho Politics/Dan Jones were released. The poll asked respondents from Idaho for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.
Idaho Politics/Dan Jones poll results
Of those who answered the question, 23.0% said that they would vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 44.0% revealed that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from July 5 to July 16, among a random sample of 601 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-4.0 percentage points, which means that the levels of voter support for Trump and Clinton differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, as they may contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single polls, the best practice is to use combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, we translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in figures of 34.3% for Clinton and 65.7% for Trump. The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 65.7% of the two-party vote in Idaho.