Georgia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 43.4% of the two-party vote share in Georgia, whereas Trump will end up with 56.6%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 56.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 52.3% of the two-party vote in Georgia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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