Oregon: 11 points lead for Clinton in latest FOX 12/KPTV poll

FOX 12/KPTV released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Oregon were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

Of those who responded, 43.0% said that they plan to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 32.0% declared that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from May 6 to May 9, among a random sample of 902 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.3 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, as they can contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, the recommended strategy look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, you can translate them into two-party vote shares. The resulting figures are 57.3% for Clinton and 42.7% for Trump.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 58.0% of the two-party vote in Oregon. This means that the PollyVote is 0.7 points above her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus within the poll's sampling error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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