Oregon: New DHM Research poll shows Clinton with 13 points lead

DHM Research published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Oregon were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.

According to the results, 38.0% of respondents are going to give their vote to former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 25.0% plan to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted between September 1 and September 6. The sample size was 517 registered voters. There is a sampling error of +/-4.3 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't have too much confidence in the results of a single poll. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, one can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 60.3% for Clinton and 39.7% for Trump.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 58.5% of the two-party vote in Oregon. Hence, the combined PollyVote is 1.8 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus within the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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