DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in Oklahoma

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 30.0% for Clinton, and 70.0% for Trump in Oklahoma. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with 70.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 64.9% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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