DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in Arkansas

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 34.8% of the two-party vote share in Arkansas, whereas Trump will win 65.2%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they can incorporate substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in Arkansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 8.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.