DeSart model: Trump with clear lead in South Carolina

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.0% for Clinton, and 58.0% for Trump in South Carolina. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 58.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models may incorporate large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 54.4% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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