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DeSart model: Trump with clear lead in Mississippi


The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will garner 41.5% of the two-party vote share in Mississippi, whereas Trump will win 58.5%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 58.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 55.6% of the two-party vote in Mississippi. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 2.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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