The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 53.0% for Clinton, and 47.0% for Trump in New Mexico. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, since they can include large biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.