DeSart model in New Mexico: Clinton with small lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 53.0% for Clinton, and 47.0% for Trump in New Mexico. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to garner 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, since they can include large biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.2 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in New Mexico.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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