DeSart model in Nebraska: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 35.9% of the two-party vote share in Nebraska, whereas Trump will win 64.1%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 64.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.9% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.