DeSart model in Nebraska: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 35.9% of the two-party vote share in Nebraska, whereas Trump will win 64.1%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to gain 64.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 56.9% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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