DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will win 64.0%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 56.6% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 7.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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