DeSart model in Connecticut: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 56.7% for Clinton, and 43.4% for Trump in Connecticut. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 56.3% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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