DeSart model in Connecticut: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 56.7% for Clinton, and 43.4% for Trump in Connecticut. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 56.3% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.