DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead in Rhode Island
The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 62.1% for Clinton, and 37.9% for Trump in Rhode Island. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 37.9% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Rhode Island.