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DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead in Rhode Island

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The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 62.1% for Clinton, and 37.9% for Trump in Rhode Island. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 37.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Rhode Island.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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