DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead in Hawaii

The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 70.1% for Clinton, and 29.9% for Trump in Hawaii. In comparison, on September 7, Clinton was predicted to collect only 29.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, because they may include substantial biases. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 66.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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