DeSart model: Clinton with clear lead in Maine

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 55.7% for Clinton, and 44.3% for Trump in Maine. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes contain large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Maine. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.