DeSart model: Clinton tied with Trump

The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. The model expects that Clinton and Trump will each garner 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, as they may incorporate substantial biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Clinton is currently at 49.6% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. In comparison to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 0.2 percentage points better in the DeSart model.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.5% and Trump 47.5% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 2.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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